Microsoft
            Pursues TV Strategy
            As Cable Resistance Endures
            
            Does Microsoft's
            leadership fathom the depth of the cable industry
            resistance to the company?
            
            
            by Ken Freed,
            "America Watch" columnist in
            Euromedia.
             
            
            Microsoft
            Corporation did its best to make a big splash at the June
            convention and show of the National Cable and
            Telecommunications Association. Whether their efforts
            will soak in remains uncertain. Does Microsoft's
            leadership fathom the depth of cable industry resistance
            to the company? 
            
            In the Nineties,
            Microsoft invested millions into developing a digital box
            with General Instrument for TCI. The project continued
            after the largest cable equipment manufacturer was
            acquired by Motorola and the largest cable system
            operator was acquired by AT&T. When these top two
            ventures finally walked away from the deal, courteously,
            of course, Microsoft had to go back to the drawing table
            and rethink its approach.
            
            The chief technical
            issue seemed to be that Microsoft's programming was too
            thick, demanding too much memory and computing capacity
            in the box, leaving little room for anything else. This
            complaint was compounded by incompatibility with software
            by other vendors, so cable operators lacked real choice
            in box operating systems if they used the Microsoft TV.
            
            
            Industry pundits at
            the time, including myself, suggested that cable TV
            players had been happy to accept the generous Microsoft
            dowry and get in bed with the company, but they would
            always remain reticent to consummate any true marriage
            that granted Microsoft a lasting legacy within the
            digital box. At root was (and is) a primal fear that
            Microsoft could dominate the television industry like it
            dominates the computer industry.
            
            Given this history,
            Microsoft's expansive presence at the 2003 NCTA seemed to
            say the company had learned its lessons and was ready to
            try again with a new spirit of friendly
            cooperation.
            
            The computing
            monopoly constructed one of the largest and most
            expensive stands at the annual NCTA gathering. Moshe
            Lichtman, vice president of the Microsoft TV division,
            spoke prominently on the promising role of digital TV
            software in the emerging video-on-demand
            market.
            
            The smiling and
            eager Microsoft booth staff touted the brand new
            "Microsoft TV Foundation Edition", a revised software
            platform for thin-client digital TV set-top boxes,
            intended as a foundation for all applications.
            
            
            Microsoft conveyed
            the impression that everyone was jumping on its
            bandwagon. Deals were declared with multiple system
            operators (MSOs) and with leading cable hardware and
            software vendors along with some content providers,
            Microsoft promised support from these players for future
            MSTV products.
            
            Microsoft announced
            that Comcast, the new number one U.S. MSO since it
            acquired AT&T's cable and broadband assets, had
            agreed to give the thinner MSTV system a trial, as would
            a Mexico-based cable operator using the popular name of
            Cablevision. By all indications, Microsoft would foot
            most of the bill for these limited trials. Microsoft
            asserted that the two MSOs would "potentially deploy" the
            Foundation Edition on their commercial systems.
            
            
            Microsoft further
            announced that Motorola will integrate the new platform
            onto the DCT1700 and DCT2000 set-tops. SeaChange,
            Concurrent, MetaTV, Two Way TV, and Advanced Digital
            Broadcast (ADB) are working with Microsoft to "extend the
            capabilities of the Microsoft TV Foundation platform" for
            video on demand (VOD) and related interactive services.
            Sigma Designs and National Semiconductor are working with
            a few application developers on "pending
            technologies".
            
            In other words, all
            of these cable ventures had agreed to accept Microsoft
            development funding. 
            
            "Microsoft is
            working with some of the best industry partners to bring
            cable operators solutions that will help us take
            television to a new level for consumers both now and down
            the road," Lichtman told a press conference. "Together,
            we are working to help the industry get more value from
            its investments in digital cable and on-demand. When
            working with Microsoft, MSOs can take advantage of some
            of the best that the industry has to offer without
            sacrificing flexibility, thereby enabling greater agility
            and increased revenues per user."
            
            All this may sound
            good, but the old worries have not gone away. Cable still
            resists the Microsoft model of standards setting -- first
            rule the market, then make the rules.
            
            For proof the
            leopard has not changed its spots, critics at NCTA
            pointed to Microsoft using a surrogate, the SCO Group, to
            fight a growing threat to the supremacy of Windows, the
            open-source Linux operating system. SCO in March filed an
            infringement lawsuit against IBM and now threatens to sue
            anyone using the Unix-based system without paying a
            prohibitive licensing fee to SCO. 
            
            Aware of how
            Microsoft acts in the PC world, cable is wary of how the
            company will act in the TV world if allowed to gain a
            firm foothold.
            
            Are these concerns
            justified? What do you think? 
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